Thursday, July 2, 2009

July 2

Betting Corner (7-3 yesterday, 35-17 overall , +1228)
Sea v NYY : CC Sabathia historically good against Mariners and the Yanks rolling. Vargas' first start against NY and I think the Yanks will get to him. Pick NYY
CWS v KC : Pitching matchup favors the hotter team as the Sox have pounding lefties lately. Pick CWS
Bal v LAA : Lackey coming off good start and Guthrie has been going a little better lately. Both teams coming off losses with Baltimore coughing up 4 in the ninth and then losing in extras. Like the Angels here as I just don't see them losing 3 in a row.
Arz v Cin : Both starters have good day splits and both have had success against their opponents today. The reds have managed just 3 runs in the first two games and the d-backs are far from consistent at the plate. Would lean towards the home squad but not with enough confidence to actually buy the ticket.
NYM v Pit : The mets may rest Sheff and or Wright today as they continue their road trip. Does not matter. Maholm has been good at home and has had success at home against NY. The mets were pounding lefties earlier this year but with the injuries right now, the mets seem like a tired squad doing little at the plate. They have scored 3 or less in 7 of last 10. I think they need the all star break. Pick Pit
Hou v SD : THe padres new ace takes the hill looking for a split in the series. Correia has been solid for SD of late winning 4 of his last 5. Wandy has been better on the road this year but still has a tends to be better at home. SD inspire little confidence with the bats but I am hoping it won't take many today to get it done. Pick SD
Phi v Atl : Shapes up as a potential pitching duel between Happ who has been real good since entering the rotation especially on the road against Vasquez who has been equally good at home. Don't love the game but in an effort to take sides in as many as possible I will side with the hotter club. Pick Atl
SF v Stl : The cards tried to waste a great start yesterday but pulled it out in extras. Stl has scored just 22 runs in the pat 10 games. They really have no offence right now so it comes down to whether or not Zito can miss Pujols bat. He has not pitched to deep into games lately but that might not be terrible given the solid job the giants pen has done. Wellemeyer could be trying to save his spot in the rotation but really has done nothing to give us confidence to back him. I think the giants get it done.
Mil v CHC : Dempster usually good at home save for the start against the bucs last month. The cubbie have not been good lately going just 3-7 but with McClung on the bump I can't back Mil either. No pick

Picks
Big Favs: NYY -290, LAA -148
Mid: CWS -135, Pit -141, Atl -133
Dogs: SD -104, SF +119

Sports
NHL

Free agency started yesterday with the a couple of the biggest names staying put.

  • Sedins back in Vancity for 5 more. Strange with these two because it seemed like it would have been bad news for Vancouver to see them go and I know the numbers are there but really couldn't see them doing same in another city. I think they are only worth the money in Van
  • Bouwmeester signed with Calgary as they had hoped when they traded for his rights. Will they really keep all 3 of JB, Phaneuf and Regher.
  • Gaborik a Ranger would seem about right. Lots of Broadway flash, big numbers until he is injured. Havlat to the Wild and he will fill Gaboriks shoes and could put up big numbers until he is injured.
  • Cammalieri a Hab. I know this guy gets his goals but I am not convinced. He is good, but 6 million good? A day after they pick up Gomez in a trade they get another small fast US forward in Gionta. Again money aside the 48 goals a couple of years ago were an aberration however he will get his 20 and comes from a place that teaches you how to play in both ends.
  • As Oralndo Hudson once referred to him, Ka-bib-bu-lin gets 15 over 4. Seems like a reasonable signing.
  • 7 yr at 3.5m per for Ohlund in Tampa. Really?? Always liked him but there is a lot of mileage under the hood. Seems like a mistake here.
  • Hossa to Chicago. Good player but this guy seems to be a dark cloud. Never had the success in Ottawas good numbers though. Good numbers in Atl nothing from the team. The well documented miss in Pittsburgh 2 yrs ago only to snub them in favor of Det, how did that work out this year?? Oh yeah no cup in motown.
  • The Toronto Maple Chiefs signed Colton "oglethorpe" Orr, Mike "Killer" Komisarek and traded Kubina to Atlanta for Garnet "dr Hook" Exelby. Well you get the idea no screaming buffalo swamptown but Brian Burke said he would make them tougher to play against, and that they would not get pushed around etc etc. We shall see if they can manage to put the puck in the net. Missing out on the Sedins or Cammalieri is not the end of the world. A skilled forward for Kaberle, and getting Gustavsson would make it a decent start to changing the direction of this club. Keeping drafting skilled kids and have a little patience

As a player I like Dany Heatley. I will pull hard for him if he is on the 2010 team. He shows up in the spring for Canada at the worlds when many guys turn them down. I have never heard that he is a bad guy. But I find it difficult to come to terms with him asking for a trade then not waving the no trade clause. I realize he gave the Sens a list of teams he would like to go to. But ultimately how bad do you really want out when you announce your trade demands and then veto a move. I know there are two sides but he has a big contract that makes it difficult enough to move without further restrictions. I could understand a small list of teams I wouldn't want to go to, but if I were looking to acquire this guy I would have to wonder how long until he decides the next place isn't good enough, or if I change coaches will it be ok with him. I know first times a fluke, I would hate to be the coincidence.

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