July 8

Betting Corner
1-3, 46-30 overall +461
Tough night but it is turnaround day in a big way. I realize the need for value in selections as it is tough to have to win two to cover one loss just to break even. That said I also have subscribed to the theory that there is no value in betting dogs that have little chance to be successful. Sometimes you have to pay for quality in this life and as always that is the real question. Yesterday the Yanks, Sox, and Tigers all won their games without to much issue having multiple run leads by the fifth. All were favourites including a couple of big ones, but at the end of the day they came through and put money in the pockets of their backers. So as we press on I will go back to looking at these situations more, like I was doing in the beginning.

Todays games...
Changing it up I will start in the NL
Hou over Pit -159 : like the Astros to get it done. Although they lost last night they out hit the Bucs and I like Wandy Rodriguez at home in a day start a situation that is supported by his splits. The only negative is the lack of consistency he has shown, alternating good and bad starts recently.
Cubs over Braves -110 : Not a lot to love here except that Chipper will probably not go today and the Cubs have unknown quantity in Hart starting. Usually like to stay away from the first time starter, but often they perform well and with the edge in hitting for the Cubs I think they get it done.
Col -Was : Couple of close games so far in this series and don't think either team has a huge edge in form. Clearly the Rockies are the better squad and probably have the edge in the starters here but their none of this is decisive enough to get on their side after the two 1 run wins.
Arz over SD -158 : D-backs have won 4 in a row but have hardly been blowing teams out. The Pad's are brutal on the road and I just can't get on Chad Gaudin. I know he has had 3 real nice starts but his last one was more what I expect. Scherezer has been pretty good and while I still have little faith in Arz. scoring things seem to stack up well enough to back the backs.
SF over Fla -113 : Rookie Sadowski has been outstanding so far and Volstad has been coming apart lately. The Giants keep finding ways and at a short price and no Hanley Ramirez for the Marlins I will try the Giants.
Phi - Cin : Don't like the pitching matchup and although the Phils were going a bit better at home I still don't have the confidence to make it to the window.
LAD over NYM -135: It would seem to be an easy bet against here as the Mets have been absolutely brutal of late. Really the only X factor is the return of Oliver Perez who generally has trouble finding the plate as he showed in his minor league conditioning. Still outside of the law of averages helping them out the Mets 2-8 in last ten probably go down again.
Stl - Mil : Pass
Sea over Bal -118 : Tentatively will endorse Vargas at home here. The Mariners are decent at home and I see them bouncing back after yesterday.
KC over Det -130 : The Royals are 6-1 in the 7 starts Greinke has made against the Tigers over the last two years. While they still struggle on offence I will hope they don't need a lot tonight and get by the Tigers.
Tor over TB +145 : The Rays have had the Jays number this year but Tampa face Tallet for the first time as starter and he has generally provided the Jays with quality starts. Tor get Kazmir but he generally doesn't go to long in games and the Jays have a number of righty bats to fill the lineup.
Bos - Oak : Always have difficulty backing the knuckleballer especially when the Red Sox have been scuffling a bit. Cahill has been hit hard in last two but a steep price on Wakefield makes this a pass.
NYY over Min -130 : The Yanks have been hot and so has AJ Burnett lately. Perkins comes off a pair of good road starts but the Yanks hit lefties pretty well.
CWS over Cle -140 : The Chisox are the hotter club and get the second consecutive Cleveland lefty. Laffey has had past success against Chi, but Contreras has had similar success against Cle. A half hearted endorsement of the hotter club here.
Tex - LAA : Pass.
10 pack of selections. We will see if we can get going in a big way.
Hou -159, Cubs -110, Arz -158, SF -113, LAD -135, Sea -118, KC -130, Tor +145, NYY -130 CWS -140.